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Week 8 Shift Sim

10,000 slate runs on the Clock Out Model

Week 8 · Oct 28, 2026

Big number = how often a player lands in the top lineup across 10,000 runs. Floor / Ceiling = 25th and 90th percentile outcome. Boom = 4x salary value (3x in single game), Bust = under 2x (1.5x).

Player tables

Ownership by contest size: Small field = single entry or under ~1,000 entries, Mid-size = ~1,000-20,000, Large field = 20,000+ or Milly Maker.

Tap a column to sort. Swipe sideways for more. CPT view shows captain salary and points (1.5x).

Main slate: most optimal

Puka NacuaWR22%
LAR vs LAC · $8,600 · avg 26.2
Floor 15.8Mid 26.2High 32.9Ceiling 45.2
Boom 22% · Bust 30%
CeeDee LambWR20%
DAL vs ARI · $8,100 · avg 24.5
Floor 14.5Mid 24.5High 30.5Ceiling 42.7
Boom 22% · Bust 32%
Javonte WilliamsRB17%
DAL vs ARI · $7,300 · avg 21.2
Floor 13.1Mid 21.2High 26.2Ceiling 35.9
Boom 19% · Bust 32%
Kyren WilliamsRB17%
LAR vs LAC · $7,500 · avg 21.5
Floor 13.3Mid 21.5High 26.8Ceiling 36.0
Boom 18% · Bust 33%
Zay FlowersWR16%
BAL vs BUF · $7,200 · avg 20.6
Floor 12.2Mid 20.6High 25.7Ceiling 35.9
Boom 19% · Bust 36%
Jahmyr GibbsRB15%
DET vs MIN · $9,500 · avg 24.5
Floor 15.2Mid 24.5High 30.5Ceiling 41.4
Boom 13% · Bust 40%
Trey McBrideTE13%
ARI vs DAL · $7,400 · avg 19.5
Floor 10.4Mid 19.5High 24.6Ceiling 35.9
Boom 17% · Bust 45%
Tee HigginsWR12%
CIN vs TEN · $6,700 · avg 17.2
Floor 9.1Mid 17.2High 21.5Ceiling 31.9
Boom 16% · Bust 47%
T.J. HockensonTE12%
MIN vs DET · $4,600 · avg 14.8
Floor 8.0Mid 14.8High 18.6Ceiling 27.1
Boom 26% · Bust 33%
Tony PollardRB12%
TEN vs CIN · $5,800 · avg 16.5
Floor 10.2Mid 16.5High 20.5Ceiling 27.9
Boom 18% · Bust 33%
Kenneth Walker IIIRB12%
KC vs DEN · $8,800 · avg 21.3
Floor 13.2Mid 21.3High 26.4Ceiling 35.7
Boom 10% · Bust 45%
Keenan AllenWR11%
IND vs JAX · $4,500 · avg 14.6
Floor 8.7Mid 14.6High 18.1Ceiling 25.5
Boom 25% · Bust 27%
Rhamondre StevensonRB11%
NE vs MIA · $5,600 · avg 15.9
Floor 9.9Mid 15.9High 19.8Ceiling 27.0
Boom 18% · Bust 33%
Ashton JeantyRB11%
LV vs NYJ · $6,700 · avg 17.3
Floor 10.7Mid 17.3High 21.4Ceiling 29.3
Boom 14% · Bust 41%
Breece HallRB11%
NYJ vs LV · $6,000 · avg 16.3
Floor 10.1Mid 16.3High 20.2Ceiling 27.7
Boom 16% · Bust 37%

Boom plays at $6,500 or less

Mason TaylorTE10%
NYJ vs LV · $3,300 · avg 12.2
Floor 6.6Mid 12.2High 15.2Ceiling 22.3
Boom 33% · Bust 25%
Drake MayeQB11%
NE vs MIA · $6,500 · avg 23.2
Floor 15.8Mid 23.2High 28.4Ceiling 36.8
Boom 32% · Bust 13%
Jacoby BrissettQB8%
ARI vs DAL · $5,700 · avg 20.3
Floor 13.7Mid 20.3High 24.9Ceiling 32.4
Boom 32% · Bust 13%
BroncosDST8%
DEN vs KC · $2,300 · avg 7.5
Floor 1.8Mid 7.5High 10.7Ceiling 17.9
Boom 30% · Bust 45%
Dak PrescottQB9%
DAL vs ARI · $6,300 · avg 22.0
Floor 14.9Mid 22.0High 26.7Ceiling 35.0
Boom 30% · Bust 15%
Malik WillisQB4%
MIA vs NE · $4,900 · avg 16.9
Floor 11.4Mid 16.9High 20.6Ceiling 26.8
Boom 29% · Bust 15%
Trevor LawrenceQB8%
JAX vs IND · $6,200 · avg 21.1
Floor 14.3Mid 21.1High 25.8Ceiling 33.2
Boom 28% · Bust 16%
VikingsDST10%
MIN vs DET · $3,000 · avg 9.3
Floor 2.2Mid 9.3High 13.0Ceiling 21.8
Boom 28% · Bust 48%
Greg DulcichTE8%
MIA vs NE · $3,200 · avg 10.8
Floor 6.0Mid 10.8High 13.4Ceiling 19.6
Boom 28% · Bust 29%
TitansDST5%
TEN vs CIN · $2,100 · avg 6.1
Floor 1.4Mid 6.1High 8.8Ceiling 14.7
Boom 27% · Bust 48%

Single game: CAR @ GB

Jordan LoveQB70%
GB vs CAR · $10,000 · avg 20.2 · CPT 14%
Floor 13.8Mid 20.2High 24.6Ceiling 32.2
Boom 13% · Bust 31%
Josh JacobsRB61%
GB vs CAR · $8,800 · avg 19.0 · CPT 17%
Floor 11.8Mid 19.0High 23.8Ceiling 31.9
Boom 19% · Bust 32%
Matthew GoldenWR52%
GB vs CAR · $8,400 · avg 17.0 · CPT 12%
Floor 10.2Mid 17.0High 21.2Ceiling 29.2
Boom 16% · Bust 39%
Bryce YoungQB48%
CAR vs GB · $9,600 · avg 16.4 · CPT 6%
Floor 11.2Mid 16.4High 20.0Ceiling 26.1
Boom 6% · Bust 47%
Chuba HubbardRB40%
CAR vs GB · $9,000 · avg 14.8 · CPT 7%
Floor 9.1Mid 14.8High 18.3Ceiling 25.1
Boom 8% · Bust 53%
Tetairoa McMillanWR39%
CAR vs GB · $9,400 · avg 15.2 · CPT 7%
Floor 9.1Mid 15.2High 19.0Ceiling 26.6
Boom 8% · Bust 56%
Christian WatsonWR35%
GB vs CAR · $9,800 · avg 15.0 · CPT 8%
Floor 8.0Mid 15.0High 18.7Ceiling 27.8
Boom 9% · Bust 62%
Tucker KraftTE32%
GB vs CAR · $7,400 · avg 12.5 · CPT 6%
Floor 6.8Mid 12.5High 15.7Ceiling 22.9
Boom 11% · Bust 55%
Jalen CokerWR29%
CAR vs GB · $7,800 · avg 12.2 · CPT 5%
Floor 6.5Mid 12.2High 15.3Ceiling 22.5
Boom 9% · Bust 60%
Ryan FitzgeraldK25%
CAR vs GB · $4,800 · avg 8.8 · CPT 2%
Floor 5.2Mid 8.8High 11.0Ceiling 15.3
Boom 12% · Bust 47%

How the sim works

Each run plays out every game once. Teammates move together (QB and his receivers rise and fall together, a defense struggles when the offense across from it has a big day), and higher-total games get more volatility. Ranges come from three seasons of real DK scoring by role. Projections are ours. No outside projections or ownership are used.