SECOND SHIFT DRAFT · Week 7 · Oct 20, 2026
Big number = how often a player lands in the top lineup across 10,000 runs. Floor / Ceiling = 25th and 90th percentile outcome. Boom = 4x salary value (3x in single game), Bust = under 2x (1.5x).
Player tables
Ownership by contest size: Small field = single entry or under ~1,000 entries, Mid-size = ~1,000-20,000, Large field = 20,000+ or Milly Maker.
Tap a column to sort. Swipe sideways for more. CPT view shows captain salary and points (1.5x).
Main slate: most optimal
Jahmyr GibbsRB34%
DET vs GB · $9,800 · avg 32.9
Floor 20.2Mid 32.9High 40.7Ceiling 55.8
Boom 27% · Bust 23%
Kyren WilliamsRB28%
LAR vs LV · $7,000 · avg 23.8
Floor 14.7Mid 23.8High 29.5Ceiling 40.1
Boom 28% · Bust 22%
Christian McCaffreyRB26%
SF vs ATL · $7,600 · avg 24.5
Floor 15.2Mid 24.5High 30.2Ceiling 41.4
Boom 25% · Bust 25%
Matthew GoldenWR24%
GB vs DET · $6,000 · avg 20.9
Floor 12.5Mid 20.9High 26.2Ceiling 36.4
Boom 30% · Bust 23%
George KittleTE22%
SF vs ATL · $5,700 · avg 19.7
Floor 10.6Mid 19.7High 24.7Ceiling 36.1
Boom 30% · Bust 29%
Malik NabersWR17%
NYG vs HOU · $6,800 · avg 20.1
Floor 12.2Mid 20.1High 24.8Ceiling 34.7
Boom 20% · Bust 32%
Jordan LoveQB17%
GB vs DET · $6,000 · avg 24.4
Floor 16.6Mid 24.4High 29.8Ceiling 39.0
Boom 43% · Bust 8%
Christian WatsonWR17%
GB vs DET · $7,000 · avg 19.9
Floor 10.5Mid 19.9High 24.7Ceiling 36.9
Boom 20% · Bust 41%
Bijan RobinsonRB16%
ATL vs SF · $8,500 · avg 21.8
Floor 13.5Mid 21.8High 27.1Ceiling 36.9
Boom 13% · Bust 41%
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR12%
DET vs GB · $7,800 · avg 19.7
Floor 11.7Mid 19.7High 24.6Ceiling 34.5
Boom 13% · Bust 44%
Jalen CokerWR12%
CAR vs TB · $6,100 · avg 15.5
Floor 8.3Mid 15.5High 19.7Ceiling 28.8
Boom 16% · Bust 48%
C.J. StroudQB12%
HOU vs NYG · $5,700 · avg 21.6
Floor 14.9Mid 21.6High 26.1Ceiling 33.9
Boom 36% · Bust 10%
VikingsDST11%
MIN vs IND · $3,500 · avg 10.8
Floor 2.7Mid 10.8High 14.9Ceiling 25.8
Boom 27% · Bust 48%
Keenan AllenWR11%
IND vs MIN · $4,800 · avg 13.9
Floor 8.3Mid 13.9High 17.3Ceiling 24.1
Boom 19% · Bust 35%
Isaiah LikelyTE11%
NYG vs HOU · $5,300 · avg 14.3
Floor 7.8Mid 14.3High 17.9Ceiling 26.2
Boom 17% · Bust 43%
Boom plays at $6,500 or less
Jordan LoveQB17%
GB vs DET · $6,000 · avg 24.4
Floor 16.6Mid 24.4High 29.8Ceiling 39.0
Boom 43% · Bust 8%
C.J. StroudQB12%
HOU vs NYG · $5,700 · avg 21.6
Floor 14.9Mid 21.6High 26.1Ceiling 33.9
Boom 36% · Bust 10%
Matthew GoldenWR24%
GB vs DET · $6,000 · avg 20.9
Floor 12.5Mid 20.9High 26.2Ceiling 36.4
Boom 30% · Bust 23%
George KittleTE22%
SF vs ATL · $5,700 · avg 19.7
Floor 10.6Mid 19.7High 24.7Ceiling 36.1
Boom 30% · Bust 29%
RaidersDST5%
LV vs LAR · $2,000 · avg 6.2
Floor 1.2Mid 6.2High 9.0Ceiling 15.0
Boom 29% · Bust 47%
Matthew StaffordQB10%
LAR vs LV · $6,400 · avg 21.8
Floor 14.8Mid 21.8High 26.6Ceiling 34.5
Boom 28% · Bust 15%
BengalsDST8%
CIN vs BAL · $2,500 · avg 7.5
Floor 1.7Mid 7.5High 10.7Ceiling 18.1
Boom 27% · Bust 49%
VikingsDST11%
MIN vs IND · $3,500 · avg 10.8
Floor 2.7Mid 10.8High 14.9Ceiling 25.8
Boom 27% · Bust 48%
Bo NixQB5%
DEN vs ARI · $5,000 · avg 16.8
Floor 11.4Mid 16.8High 20.5Ceiling 26.4
Boom 27% · Bust 17%
BuccaneersDST5%
TB vs CAR · $2,200 · avg 6.1
Floor 1.4Mid 6.1High 8.9Ceiling 14.8
Boom 25% · Bust 50%
Single game: NE @ CHI
Featured leverage captain: Drake Maye. The best captain in 28.1% of our 5,000 game runs, with only 14.1% projected captain ownership in large-field contests (20,000+ entries). That's the biggest captain edge in this game.
Drake MayeQB86%
NE vs CHI · $10,600 · avg 25.0 · CPT 28%
Floor 17.1Mid 25.0High 30.5Ceiling 40.0
Boom 22% · Bust 20%
Caleb WilliamsQB64%
CHI vs NE · $10,400 · avg 19.3 · CPT 11%
Floor 13.1Mid 19.3High 23.5Ceiling 30.7
Boom 9% · Bust 39%
D'Andre SwiftRB52%
CHI vs NE · $9,800 · avg 17.6 · CPT 11%
Floor 10.8Mid 17.6High 21.7Ceiling 29.8
Boom 11% · Bust 46%
A.J. BrownWR51%
NE vs CHI · $9,000 · avg 16.8 · CPT 10%
Floor 10.1Mid 16.8High 21.1Ceiling 29.1
Boom 13% · Bust 44%
Hunter HenryTE38%
NE vs CHI · $6,200 · avg 11.8 · CPT 5%
Floor 6.4Mid 11.8High 14.8Ceiling 21.5
Boom 15% · Bust 48%
Colston LovelandTE34%
CHI vs NE · $6,400 · avg 11.3 · CPT 5%
Floor 6.0Mid 11.3High 14.1Ceiling 20.9
Boom 13% · Bust 53%
Rhamondre StevensonRB34%
NE vs CHI · $7,800 · avg 12.0 · CPT 4%
Floor 7.4Mid 12.0High 15.0Ceiling 20.2
Boom 6% · Bust 58%
Luther Burden IIIWR30%
CHI vs NE · $8,400 · avg 12.3 · CPT 4%
Floor 7.3Mid 12.3High 15.3Ceiling 21.4
Boom 6% · Bust 63%
BearsDST28%
CHI vs NE · $4,000 · avg 7.0 · CPT 6%
Floor 1.6Mid 7.0High 10.0Ceiling 16.8
Boom 19% · Bust 56%
PatriotsDST26%
NE vs CHI · $3,800 · avg 6.7 · CPT 5%
Floor 1.6Mid 6.7High 9.5Ceiling 15.9
Boom 19% · Bust 56%
How the sim works
Each run plays out every game once. Teammates move together (QB and his receivers rise and fall together, a defense struggles when the offense across from it has a big day), and higher-total games get more volatility. Ranges come from three seasons of real DK scoring by role. Projections are ours. No outside projections or ownership are used.